Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -11.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Under |
| Money | IONA -750 FAIR +525 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +18 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | IONA -12.2 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.8 (-6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -11.3 (+6.7) | 138.5 (-4.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -11.3 (+6.7) | 140.3 (-6.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -11.2 (+6.8) | 139.9 (-5.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -10.8 (+7.2) | 141.5 (-7.5) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | FAIR 71 – 70 IONA |
| Feb 2, 2025 | IONA 87 – 64 FAIR |
| Jan 11, 2025 | FAIR 68 – 64 IONA |
| Mar 14, 2024 | FAIR 68 – 63 IONA |
| Feb 3, 2024 | IONA 91 – 82 FAIR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 8-12 |
| Home | 13-0 | 6-9 |
| Away | 7-5 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 66.3 |
| Massey | 7.2 (#80) | -2.3 (#212) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.94 (#43) | -0.85 (#245) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.08 (#54) | -1.06 (#245) |
| RPI | 0.621 (#17) | 0.465 (#236) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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