Betting Lines
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | YALE -110 PRIN -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +6 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | YALE -0.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (+6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -0.3 (-5.7) | 145.9 (+10.1) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -0.1 (-5.9) | 145.8 (+10.2) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -0.5 (-6.5) | 146.3 (+9.7) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -0.4 (-5.6) | 147.9 (+8.1) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | YALE 78 – 53 PRIN |
| Jan 10, 2026 | PRIN 76 – 60 YALE |
| Mar 15, 2025 | YALE 59 – 57 PRIN |
| Feb 16, 2025 | YALE 84 – 57 PRIN |
| Jan 31, 2025 | YALE 77 – 70 PRIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 23-7 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 12-2 |
| Home | 10-3 | 13-1 |
| Away | 6-6 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 78.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#143) | 3.6 (#117) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#135) | 0.85 (#111) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#132) | 0.84 (#119) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#75) | 0.533 (#122) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 56.2% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 14.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 76.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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