Betting Lines
| Spread | PAC -1.0 Push |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PAC +1 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | LMU -1.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.5 (+1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -0.6 (+1.6) | 135.1 (+1.9) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -0.8 (+1.8) | 140.8 (-3.8) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -0.8 (+1.8) | 141.1 (-4.1) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -0.8 (+1.8) | 140.1 (-3.1) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | PAC 65 – 59 LMU |
| Dec 31, 2025 | LMU 80 – 71 PAC |
| Feb 14, 2025 | PAC 83 – 58 LMU |
| Jan 24, 2025 | LMU 73 – 68 PAC |
| Feb 25, 2024 | LMU 86 – 63 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PAC | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-22 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 3-11 | 3-12 |
| Home | 7-7 | 6-7 |
| Away | 0-13 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#272) | -2.1 (#209) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.57 (#300) | 0.03 (#176) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.84 (#297) | 0.10 (#166) |
| RPI | 0.415 (#318) | 0.506 (#169) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PAC | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 30.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 77.4% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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