Betting Lines
| Spread | IDST -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SAC +5 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | IDST -2.2 (-7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.3 (+33.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IDST -0.9 (-5.9) | 129.0 (+26.0) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IDST -0.9 (-5.9) | 131.0 (+24.0) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IDST -2.0 (-7.0) | 131.2 (+23.8) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IDST -1.3 (-6.3) | 132.3 (+22.7) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | SAC 83 – 65 IDST |
| Jan 2, 2026 | IDST 97 – 84 SAC |
| Feb 23, 2025 | IDST 83 – 66 SAC |
| Jan 24, 2025 | SAC 75 – 71 IDST |
| Feb 9, 2024 | IDST 68 – 40 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDST | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 6-14 |
| Home | 5-8 | 6-8 |
| Away | 2-14 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.4 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -13.1 (#343) | -12.5 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.11 (#328) | -2.20 (#334) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.15 (#314) | -2.40 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.379 (#349) | 0.396 (#342) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDST | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 22.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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