Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -15.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +24 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | LT -18.2 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (+21.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -16.7 (+7.3) | 151.0 (+15.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -15.3 (+8.7) | 148.0 (+18.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -16.1 (+7.9) | 148.9 (+17.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LT -15.5 (+8.5) | 149.1 (+16.9) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2023 | LT 66 – 55 UTSA |
| Dec 30, 2022 | LT 91 – 69 UTSA |
| Jan 8, 2022 | LT 79 – 63 UTSA |
| Jan 17, 2021 | LT 82 – 66 UTSA |
| Jan 16, 2021 | LT 77 – 66 UTSA |
Game Analysis
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