Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | LT -300 UTSA +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +16 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | LT -11.6 (+4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.9 (-1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -11.0 (+5.0) | 151.4 (-3.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -9.2 (+6.8) | 148.2 (-0.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -10.8 (+5.2) | 148.3 (-0.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LT -11.1 (+4.9) | 147.7 (+0.3) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2023 | LT 66 – 55 UTSA |
| Dec 30, 2022 | LT 91 – 69 UTSA |
| Feb 20, 2022 | LT 95 – 71 UTSA |
| Jan 8, 2022 | LT 79 – 63 UTSA |
| Jan 16, 2021 | LT 77 – 66 UTSA |
Game Analysis
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