Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | LT -333 UTSA +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +11 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | LT -12.8 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.5 (-7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -12.1 (-1.1) | 147.3 (-4.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -9.1 (+1.9) | 147.6 (-4.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -11.7 (-0.7) | 147.2 (-4.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LT -12.0 (-1.0) | 147.6 (-4.6) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2023 | LT 66 – 55 UTSA |
| Dec 30, 2022 | LT 91 – 69 UTSA |
| Feb 20, 2022 | LT 95 – 71 UTSA |
| Jan 8, 2022 | LT 79 – 63 UTSA |
| Jan 17, 2021 | LT 82 – 66 UTSA |
Game Analysis
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