Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +16 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | LT -15.2 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (-1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -11.1 (-4.9) | 145.6 (-3.6) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -10.9 (-5.1) | 143.9 (-1.9) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -11.0 (-5.0) | 143.8 (-1.8) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LT -12.0 (-4.0) | 142.8 (-0.8) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2023 | LT 66 – 55 UTSA |
| Dec 30, 2022 | LT 91 – 69 UTSA |
| Feb 20, 2022 | LT 95 – 71 UTSA |
| Jan 17, 2021 | LT 82 – 66 UTSA |
| Jan 16, 2021 | LT 77 – 66 UTSA |
Game Analysis
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