Betting Lines
| Spread | PORT -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PORT +3 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | PORT -8.6 (-5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.1 (+2.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PORT -5.4 (-2.4) | 149.4 (+1.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PORT -8.7 (-5.7) | 148.8 (+2.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PORT -7.8 (-4.8) | 149.3 (+1.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PORT -8.1 (-5.1) | 149.0 (+2.0) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | PORT 77 – 68 PEPP |
| Feb 19, 2026 | PEPP 95 – 87 PORT |
| Jan 15, 2026 | PEPP 67 – 63 PORT |
| Mar 8, 2025 | PEPP 86 – 73 PORT |
| Feb 28, 2025 | PORT 87 – 67 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 1-15 |
| Home | 11-4 | 7-9 |
| Away | 6-9 | 0-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 77.8 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#193) | -7.2 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#170) | -1.35 (#285) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#178) | -1.50 (#273) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#204) | 0.425 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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