Betting Lines
| Spread | PORT -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | PORT -375 PEPP +295 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PEPP +8 | 182 | Lost |
| Massey | PORT -7.7 (-15.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (+34.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PORT -6.7 (-14.7) | 143.3 (+38.7) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PORT -4.9 (-12.9) | 145.9 (+36.1) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PORT -6.9 (-14.9) | 145.7 (+36.3) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PORT -6.4 (-14.4) | 144.1 (+37.9) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | PORT 77 – 68 PEPP |
| Jan 15, 2026 | PEPP 67 – 63 PORT |
| Mar 8, 2025 | PEPP 86 – 73 PORT |
| Feb 28, 2025 | PORT 87 – 67 PEPP |
| Feb 2, 2025 | PORT 84 – 64 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 4-14 |
| Home | 12-6 | 7-10 |
| Away | 1-12 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 79.7 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#210) | -7.3 (#279) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#177) | -1.44 (#297) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#175) | -1.65 (#283) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#218) | 0.423 (#319) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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