Betting Lines
| Spread | PEPP -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | PEPP -450 PORT +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PEPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PORT +20 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | PEPP -12.2 (-32.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.4 (-5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PEPP -10.0 (-30.0) | 147.5 (+0.5) | 83% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | PEPP -8.8 (-28.8) | 149.5 (-1.5) | 85% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | PEPP -9.2 (-29.2) | 148.4 (-0.4) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PEPP -10.0 (-30.0) | 147.7 (+0.3) | 84% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | PORT 77 – 68 PEPP |
| Feb 19, 2026 | PEPP 95 – 87 PORT |
| Jan 15, 2026 | PEPP 67 – 63 PORT |
| Mar 8, 2025 | PEPP 86 – 73 PORT |
| Feb 28, 2025 | PORT 87 – 67 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PEPP | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-22 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-9 | 9-7 |
| Away | 2-11 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 81.2 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#192) | -10.8 (#326) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.82 (#241) | -1.61 (#313) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#231) | -2.19 (#318) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#254) | 0.426 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PEPP | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 13.4% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 17.0% |
Game Analysis
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