Betting Lines
| Spread | PORT -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | PORT -110 PEPP -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PEPP +13 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | PEPP -2.7 (-10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.0 (+3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PEPP -1.2 (-11.8) | 153.9 (+5.1) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PORT -0.4 (-13.4) | 152.2 (+6.8) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PEPP -0.4 (-12.6) | 152.2 (+6.8) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PEPP -0.7 (-12.3) | 153.9 (+5.1) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | PORT 77 – 68 PEPP |
| Feb 19, 2026 | PEPP 95 – 87 PORT |
| Jan 15, 2026 | PEPP 67 – 63 PORT |
| Feb 28, 2025 | PORT 87 – 67 PEPP |
| Feb 2, 2025 | PORT 84 – 64 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 13-22 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 4-14 |
| Home | 9-7 | 7-9 |
| Away | 3-9 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.2 | 77.2 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#285) | -4.7 (#243) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#263) | -1.40 (#297) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#249) | -1.48 (#275) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#281) | 0.435 (#307) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.2% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.2% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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