Betting Lines
| Spread | PORT -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | PEPP +110 PORT -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PEPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PEPP +4 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | PORT -0.1 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (-14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PORT -0.6 (+4.6) | 140.7 (-10.7) | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PEPP -0.2 (+3.8) | 141.8 (-11.8) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PORT -0.8 (+4.8) | 139.9 (-9.9) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PORT -0.6 (+4.6) | 140.4 (-10.4) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | PORT 77 – 68 PEPP |
| Feb 19, 2026 | PEPP 95 – 87 PORT |
| Mar 8, 2025 | PEPP 86 – 73 PORT |
| Feb 28, 2025 | PORT 87 – 67 PEPP |
| Feb 2, 2025 | PORT 84 – 64 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PEPP | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 6-12 |
| Home | 7-10 | 12-6 |
| Away | 2-11 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.7 | 78.1 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#279) | -3.8 (#228) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.52 (#299) | -0.15 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.62 (#273) | -0.22 (#189) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#301) | 0.487 (#197) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PEPP | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.3% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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