Betting Lines
| Spread | PORT -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | PORT -170 PEPP +142 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PORT +9 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | PORT -3.0 (+6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (-5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PORT -1.9 (+7.1) | 146.5 (-1.5) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PORT -1.6 (+7.4) | 146.1 (-1.1) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PORT -2.0 (+7.0) | 146.3 (-1.3) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PORT -1.6 (+7.4) | 145.8 (-0.8) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | PEPP 95 – 87 PORT |
| Jan 15, 2026 | PEPP 67 – 63 PORT |
| Mar 8, 2025 | PEPP 86 – 73 PORT |
| Feb 28, 2025 | PORT 87 – 67 PEPP |
| Feb 2, 2025 | PORT 84 – 64 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 4-14 |
| Home | 12-6 | 7-10 |
| Away | 1-12 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 79.7 |
| Massey | -3.4 (#219) | -6.3 (#269) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#199) | -1.21 (#275) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#188) | -1.33 (#260) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#237) | 0.434 (#311) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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