Betting Lines
| Spread | PORT -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | PORT -175 PEPP +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PORT +20 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | PEPP -0.8 (+20.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.4 (-3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PORT -1.2 (+18.8) | 154.4 (-0.4) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PEPP -0.1 (+20.1) | 154.3 (-0.3) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PORT -0.3 (+19.7) | 155.4 (-1.4) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PORT -1.0 (+19.0) | 155.0 (-1.0) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | PORT 77 – 68 PEPP |
| Feb 19, 2026 | PEPP 95 – 87 PORT |
| Jan 15, 2026 | PEPP 67 – 63 PORT |
| Mar 8, 2025 | PEPP 86 – 73 PORT |
| Feb 2, 2025 | PORT 84 – 64 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 13-22 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 4-14 |
| Home | 9-7 | 7-9 |
| Away | 3-9 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.2 | 77.2 |
| Massey | -8.1 (#294) | -4.1 (#234) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.86 (#244) | -1.26 (#286) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#249) | -1.32 (#267) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#276) | 0.439 (#297) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.3% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.7% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.