Betting Lines
| Spread | SPU -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Over |
| Money | SIE +110 SPU -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +14 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | SPU -2.9 (+16.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.6 (+29.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SPU -2.3 (+16.3) | 129.9 (+24.1) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SPU -1.6 (+15.6) | 129.3 (+24.7) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SPU -2.1 (+16.1) | 130.9 (+23.1) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SPU -2.2 (+16.2) | 130.1 (+23.9) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | SIE 72 – 63 SPU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | SPU 70 – 65 SIE |
| Feb 7, 2025 | SIE 77 – 63 SPU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | SPU 75 – 53 SIE |
| Jan 28, 2024 | SPU 63 – 52 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-14 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 14-6 |
| Home | 8-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 7-8 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.3 | 66.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.2 | 62.9 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#257) | 0.4 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#191) | 0.00 (#178) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#221) | 0.09 (#167) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#185) | 0.528 (#126) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 30.9% |
Game Analysis
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