Betting Lines
| Spread | PITT -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PITT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GT +6 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | PITT -3.2 (-9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.4 (+2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PITT -3.1 (-9.1) | 129.2 (+0.8) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PITT -2.2 (-8.2) | 131.6 (-1.6) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PITT -2.6 (-8.6) | 132.8 (-2.8) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PITT -2.9 (-8.9) | 131.6 (-1.6) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | PITT 89 – 66 GT |
| Feb 26, 2025 | GT 73 – 67 PITT |
| Jan 24, 2024 | PITT 72 – 64 GT |
| Mar 8, 2023 | PITT 89 – 81 GT |
| Feb 22, 2023 | PITT 76 – 68 GT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PITT | GT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 5-15 |
| Home | 9-11 | 9-10 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.5 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#157) | -0.0 (#166) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#154) | -0.12 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#154) | 0.06 (#171) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#184) | 0.461 (#238) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PITT | GT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 30.0% | 17.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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