Betting Lines
| Spread | MAN -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | MAN -150 RID +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MAN +6 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | MAN -3.2 (+2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (+20.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MAN -2.1 (+3.9) | 140.8 (+21.2) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MAN -2.4 (+3.6) | 140.5 (+21.5) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MAN -2.4 (+3.6) | 141.5 (+20.5) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MAN -2.5 (+3.5) | 144.0 (+18.0) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | MAN 95 – 90 RID |
| Dec 30, 2025 | MAN 74 – 71 RID |
| Jan 5, 2025 | MAN 80 – 79 RID |
| Feb 18, 2024 | RID 104 – 62 MAN |
| Jan 13, 2024 | RID 71 – 58 MAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MAN | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-15 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 8-12 |
| Home | 8-5 | 7-6 |
| Away | 4-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#254) | -5.4 (#259) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#203) | -1.05 (#260) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#217) | -1.20 (#257) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#222) | 0.452 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MAN | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 44.1% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 32.2% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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