Betting Lines
| Spread | RID -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | RID -130 MAN +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MAN +1 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | RID -0.1 (-1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.6 (+8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MAN -0.9 (-0.1) | 146.8 (+12.2) | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RID -1.0 (-2.0) | 146.3 (+12.7) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MAN -0.8 (-0.2) | 146.2 (+12.8) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MAN -1.1 (+0.1) | 147.9 (+11.1) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | MAN 95 – 90 RID |
| Dec 30, 2025 | MAN 74 – 71 RID |
| Feb 18, 2024 | RID 104 – 62 MAN |
| Jan 13, 2024 | RID 71 – 58 MAN |
| Feb 5, 2023 | RID 67 – 56 MAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 12-8 |
| Home | 5-7 | 9-5 |
| Away | 8-11 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 75.2 |
| Massey | -9.2 (#314) | -5.2 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.55 (#305) | -0.52 (#216) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.29 (#310) | -1.06 (#241) |
| RPI | 0.419 (#316) | 0.465 (#233) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 28.2% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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