Betting Lines
| Spread | RID -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | RID -500 MAN +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +13 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | RID -9.3 (+3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (-15.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RID -6.5 (+6.5) | 145.7 (-16.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RID -7.3 (+5.7) | 143.6 (-14.6) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RID -6.1 (+6.9) | 142.1 (-13.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RID -6.3 (+6.7) | 142.9 (-13.9) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | MAN 95 – 90 RID |
| Dec 30, 2025 | MAN 74 – 71 RID |
| Jan 5, 2025 | MAN 80 – 79 RID |
| Feb 18, 2024 | RID 104 – 62 MAN |
| Feb 5, 2023 | RID 67 – 56 MAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 4-16 |
| Home | 9-4 | 3-10 |
| Away | 6-12 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#283) | -11.7 (#336) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#303) | -1.52 (#310) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.68 (#300) | -2.95 (#337) |
| RPI | 0.437 (#285) | 0.450 (#262) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.0% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 40.2 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.6 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.9% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 14.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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