Betting Lines
| Spread | RID -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | MAN +170 RID -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +42 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | RID -2.0 (-40.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (+19.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RID -3.4 (-38.6) | 145.3 (+20.7) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RID -3.8 (-38.2) | 144.1 (+21.9) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RID -2.9 (-39.1) | 142.9 (+23.1) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RID -2.7 (-39.3) | 143.6 (+22.4) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | MAN 95 – 90 RID |
| Dec 30, 2025 | MAN 74 – 71 RID |
| Jan 5, 2025 | MAN 80 – 79 RID |
| Jan 13, 2024 | RID 71 – 58 MAN |
| Feb 5, 2023 | RID 67 – 56 MAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MAN | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 12-8 |
| Home | 3-10 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-12 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -11.1 (#329) | -5.6 (#270) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.16 (#339) | -1.30 (#295) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.11 (#345) | -1.61 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.431 (#310) | 0.454 (#271) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MAN | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 15.7% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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