Betting Lines
| Spread | MAN -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | RID +120 MAN -142 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MAN +3 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | RID -0.2 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.0 (-5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MAN -1.2 (-1.8) | 139.8 (+5.2) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MAN -1.7 (-1.3) | 137.0 (+8.0) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MAN -2.3 (-0.7) | 138.0 (+7.0) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MAN -1.3 (-1.7) | 138.6 (+6.4) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | MAN 95 – 90 RID |
| Jan 5, 2025 | MAN 80 – 79 RID |
| Feb 18, 2024 | RID 104 – 62 MAN |
| Jan 13, 2024 | RID 71 – 58 MAN |
| Feb 5, 2023 | RID 67 – 56 MAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-25 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 8-12 |
| Home | 4-9 | 7-7 |
| Away | 0-16 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.6 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 79.6 |
| Massey | -15.9 (#354) | -12.0 (#332) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.98 (#365) | -1.25 (#271) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -7.24 (#365) | -1.74 (#274) |
| RPI | 0.374 (#351) | 0.447 (#273) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.8% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 25.2% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.57 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 39.3% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 28.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.0% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 59.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 16.7% |
Game Analysis
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