Betting Lines
| Spread | RID -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | MAN +115 RID -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +11 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | RID -3.9 (-7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.9 (-18.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RID -4.2 (-6.8) | 136.5 (-13.5) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RID -3.9 (-7.1) | 141.3 (-18.3) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RID -3.5 (-7.5) | 142.0 (-19.0) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RID -4.4 (-6.6) | 140.0 (-17.0) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | MAN 95 – 90 RID |
| Dec 30, 2025 | MAN 74 – 71 RID |
| Jan 5, 2025 | MAN 80 – 79 RID |
| Feb 18, 2024 | RID 104 – 62 MAN |
| Jan 13, 2024 | RID 71 – 58 MAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MAN | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-18 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 13-7 |
| Home | 5-9 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-7 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 68.2 |
| Massey | -7.7 (#303) | -0.2 (#170) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.41 (#302) | -0.10 (#184) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.89 (#311) | -0.13 (#181) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#286) | 0.509 (#159) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MAN | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 30.6 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 64.7% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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