Betting Lines
| Spread | HARV -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Over |
| Money | HARV -180 COR +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HARV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HARV +5 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | HARV -2.6 (+2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (-2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HARV -2.8 (+2.2) | 146.5 (+2.5) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HARV -1.9 (+3.1) | 147.2 (+1.8) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HARV -1.7 (+3.3) | 149.4 (-0.4) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HARV -2.2 (+2.8) | 149.7 (-0.7) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | HARV 73 – 54 COR |
| Jan 24, 2026 | COR 86 – 79 HARV |
| Feb 15, 2025 | HARV 75 – 73 COR |
| Feb 1, 2025 | COR 75 – 60 HARV |
| Feb 16, 2024 | COR 75 – 62 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HARV | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-13 | 15-11 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 7-7 |
| Home | 9-6 | 10-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#210) | -2.0 (#208) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#233) | -0.21 (#194) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#226) | -0.20 (#193) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#233) | 0.481 (#212) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HARV | COR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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