You scumbag, you maggot, you cheap lousy faggot "Fairytale of New York" - The Pogues
Liberty Arena (VA) · February 20, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread LIB -15.0 Away covered
O/U 134.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total LIB win
Actual LIB +6 170 Won
Massey LIB -15.5 (-9.5) — —
Massey Totals — 134.1 (+35.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 90% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 94% ✓
Baseline Plus ML LIB -13.0 (-7.0) 137.7 (+32.3) 86% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ LIB -14.0 (-8.0) 137.6 (+32.4) 88% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML LIB -12.8 (-6.8) 140.3 (+29.7) 87% ✓
Baseline ML LIB -12.9 (-6.9) 141.6 (+28.4) 87% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 27, 2023 LIB 74 – 45 STET
Jan 5, 2022 LIB 75 – 59 STET
Mar 5, 2021 LIB 77 – 64 STET
Jan 16, 2021 LIB 68 – 58 STET
Jan 16, 2021 STET 65 – 59 LIB

Game Analysis

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