Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | LIB -500 STET +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +13 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -11.8 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (+3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -9.9 (+3.1) | 135.6 (+5.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -8.2 (+4.8) | 134.9 (+6.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -9.5 (+3.5) | 139.7 (+1.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -9.4 (+3.6) | 139.4 (+1.6) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2023 | LIB 74 – 45 STET |
| Feb 20, 2022 | LIB 88 – 82 STET |
| Jan 5, 2022 | LIB 75 – 59 STET |
| Jan 16, 2021 | LIB 68 – 58 STET |
| Jan 16, 2021 | STET 65 – 59 LIB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | STET |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-6 | 12-15 |
| Conference | 11-2 | 7-9 |
| Home | 13-0 | 7-5 |
| Away | 5-3 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.5 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 5.7 (#92) | -6.1 (#266) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#100) | -1.30 (#272) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.19 (#97) | -1.35 (#261) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#95) | 0.442 (#277) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | STET |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.2% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 77.6% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.