Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | STET +500 LIB -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STET win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STET +6 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -13.2 (+19.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (-17.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -11.7 (+17.7) | 139.5 (-15.5) | 18% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -10.9 (+16.9) | 138.0 (-14.0) | 19% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -11.7 (+17.7) | 141.5 (-17.5) | 17% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -12.3 (+18.3) | 142.1 (-18.1) | 17% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2023 | LIB 74 – 45 STET |
| Feb 20, 2022 | LIB 88 – 82 STET |
| Jan 5, 2022 | LIB 75 – 59 STET |
| Mar 5, 2021 | LIB 77 – 64 STET |
| Jan 16, 2021 | LIB 68 – 58 STET |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STET | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-15 | 23-6 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 11-2 |
| Home | 7-5 | 13-0 |
| Away | 3-8 | 5-3 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 62.5 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#298) | 7.3 (#74) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#217) | 1.17 (#92) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#230) | 2.01 (#73) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#241) | 0.520 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STET | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 1.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 57.0% |
| TOV% | 25.2% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 22.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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