Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | LIB -1000 STET +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +29 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -11.8 (+17.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.0 (-20.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -11.4 (+17.6) | 137.5 (-18.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -12.6 (+16.4) | 135.6 (-16.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -11.6 (+17.4) | 139.5 (-20.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -11.2 (+17.8) | 139.8 (-20.8) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2022 | LIB 88 – 82 STET |
| Jan 5, 2022 | LIB 75 – 59 STET |
| Mar 5, 2021 | LIB 77 – 64 STET |
| Jan 16, 2021 | LIB 68 – 58 STET |
| Jan 16, 2021 | STET 65 – 59 LIB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | STET |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 12-6 |
| Home | 19-1 | 9-3 |
| Away | 6-7 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.3 | 75.1 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#62) | 0.3 (#165) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.39 (#66) | 0.44 (#132) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.71 (#68) | 0.56 (#130) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#64) | 0.532 (#116) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | STET |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 39.1% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 78.9% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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