Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STET win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +16 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | LIB -3.4 (-12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.2 (+8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -3.8 (-12.2) | 132.7 (+1.3) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -4.7 (-11.3) | 132.3 (+1.7) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -3.2 (-12.8) | 133.0 (+1.0) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -3.3 (-12.7) | 135.6 (-1.6) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2023 | LIB 74 – 45 STET |
| Feb 20, 2022 | LIB 88 – 82 STET |
| Mar 5, 2021 | LIB 77 – 64 STET |
| Jan 16, 2021 | LIB 68 – 58 STET |
| Jan 16, 2021 | STET 65 – 59 LIB |
Game Analysis
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