Betting Lines
| Spread | UNM -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | SJSU +220 UNM -260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJSU +16 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | UNM -6.6 (+22.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.9 (-26.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNM -4.3 (+20.3) | 148.3 (-22.3) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNM -5.5 (+21.5) | 151.0 (-25.0) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNM -5.7 (+21.7) | 151.6 (-25.6) | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNM -5.8 (+21.8) | 151.4 (-25.4) | 26% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | UNM 93 – 77 SJSU |
| Feb 1, 2026 | UNM 90 – 80 SJSU |
| Dec 21, 2025 | UNM 88 – 65 SJSU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | UNM 63 – 52 SJSU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | SJSU 71 – 70 UNM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJSU | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 5-12 |
| Home | 7-9 | 11-7 |
| Away | 1-13 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.5 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 76.7 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#295) | 1.5 (#140) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#242) | 0.36 (#145) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#244) | 0.54 (#136) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#272) | 0.514 (#153) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJSU | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 29.7 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 21.1% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 15.1% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.