Betting Lines
| Spread | LONG -14.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LONG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LONG +4 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | LONG -15.4 (-11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.8 (+13.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LONG -12.2 (-8.2) | 138.4 (+9.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LONG -12.5 (-8.5) | 139.1 (+8.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LONG -12.3 (-8.3) | 139.4 (+8.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LONG -12.5 (-8.5) | 140.0 (+8.0) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2022 | LONG 73 – 48 HAMP |
| Feb 24, 2021 | HAMP 74 – 68 LONG |
| Feb 15, 2021 | LONG 83 – 73 HAMP |
Game Analysis
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