Betting Lines
| Spread | LONG -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | LONG -175 HAMP +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LONG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LONG +10 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | LONG -7.0 (+3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.7 (+22.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LONG -4.6 (+5.4) | 134.1 (+21.9) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LONG -4.1 (+5.9) | 133.7 (+22.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LONG -4.4 (+5.6) | 134.9 (+21.1) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LONG -4.4 (+5.6) | 135.9 (+20.1) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2022 | LONG 76 – 72 HAMP |
| Jan 24, 2022 | LONG 73 – 48 HAMP |
| Feb 24, 2021 | HAMP 74 – 68 LONG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LONG | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-17 | 11-14 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-5 | 5-7 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.3 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 73.2 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#237) | -8.8 (#293) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.64 (#296) | -1.68 (#302) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.75 (#279) | -2.39 (#309) |
| RPI | 0.442 (#262) | 0.414 (#308) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LONG | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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