You know he knows just exactly what the facts is. "Take the Money and Run" - The Steve Miller Band
Convocation Center (VA) · January 24, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread LONG -8.5 Away covered
O/U 132.0 Under
Money HAMP +285 / LONG -360
Model Predictions
Spread Total HAMP win
Actual LONG +25 121 Lost
Massey LONG -7.6 (-17.4) — —
Massey Totals — 129.2 (-8.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 29% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 15% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ LONG -7.5 (-17.5) 129.2 (-8.2) 20% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML LONG -6.2 (-18.8) 130.3 (-9.3) 27% ✓
Baseline ML LONG -5.7 (-19.3) 131.2 (-10.2) 29% ✓
Baseline Plus ML LONG -6.2 (-18.8) 132.5 (-11.5) 27% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 20, 2022 LONG 76 – 72 HAMP
Feb 24, 2021 HAMP 74 – 68 LONG
Feb 15, 2021 LONG 83 – 73 HAMP

Game Analysis

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