Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTU +5 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -8.4 (+13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (+13.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -7.6 (+12.6) | 140.4 (+14.6) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -7.5 (+12.5) | 138.8 (+16.2) | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -8.2 (+13.2) | 139.8 (+15.2) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -7.3 (+12.3) | 139.2 (+15.8) | 32% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | UVU 104 – 101 UTU |
| Feb 13, 2026 | UTU 81 – 77 UVU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UVU 92 – 76 UTU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | UVU 74 – 57 UTU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UVU 79 – 77 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-6 | 11-2 |
| Away | 3-11 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 65.7 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#282) | 4.1 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#235) | 0.98 (#105) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#258) | 1.21 (#102) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#223) | 0.556 (#71) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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