Betting Lines
| Spread | SMC -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SMC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMC +5 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | SMC -6.7 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMC -6.2 (-1.2) | 138.8 (-5.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMC -6.4 (-1.4) | 136.7 (-3.7) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMC -6.1 (-1.1) | 138.9 (-5.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMC -6.3 (-1.3) | 138.9 (-5.9) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2023 | SMC 76 – 69 BYU |
| Feb 19, 2023 | SMC 71 – 65 BYU |
| Jan 29, 2023 | SMC 57 – 56 BYU |
| Jan 9, 2022 | BYU 52 – 43 SMC |
| Feb 28, 2021 | BYU 65 – 51 SMC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SMC | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 12-3 | 9-6 |
| Home | 16-0 | 14-3 |
| Away | 6-4 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.3 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 12.4 (#22) | 8.5 (#63) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.47 (#25) | 1.84 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.83 (#31) | 2.44 (#40) |
| RPI | 0.637 (#6) | 0.595 (#35) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SMC | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 78.4% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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