Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +9 | 95 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -6.2 (+2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.3 (-34.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -5.4 (+3.6) | 131.1 (-36.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -6.1 (+2.9) | 129.1 (-34.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -5.8 (+3.2) | 131.9 (-36.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -5.9 (+3.1) | 132.6 (-37.6) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2023 | SMC 76 – 69 BYU |
| Feb 19, 2023 | SMC 71 – 65 BYU |
| Jan 29, 2023 | SMC 57 – 56 BYU |
| Feb 20, 2022 | SMC 69 – 64 BYU |
| Feb 28, 2021 | BYU 65 – 51 SMC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 9-6 | 12-3 |
| Home | 14-3 | 16-0 |
| Away | 6-5 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 69.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 61.3 |
| Massey | 11.6 (#31) | 9.3 (#49) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.11 (#47) | 2.42 (#36) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.95 (#39) | 2.94 (#40) |
| RPI | 0.624 (#25) | 0.609 (#34) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 41.7 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.6% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 76.7% | 81.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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