Betting Lines
| Spread | SMC -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | SMC -600 BYU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SMC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMC +6 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | SMC -13.1 (-7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.0 (+8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMC -11.8 (-5.8) | 135.1 (+0.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMC -12.3 (-6.3) | 130.8 (+5.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMC -12.0 (-6.0) | 135.4 (+0.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMC -11.5 (-5.5) | 137.5 (-1.5) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2023 | SMC 76 – 69 BYU |
| Jan 29, 2023 | SMC 57 – 56 BYU |
| Feb 20, 2022 | SMC 69 – 64 BYU |
| Jan 9, 2022 | BYU 52 – 43 SMC |
| Feb 28, 2021 | BYU 65 – 51 SMC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SMC | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 7-9 |
| Home | 16-2 | 12-4 |
| Away | 6-2 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.0 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 15.8 (#11) | 6.2 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.45 (#17) | 0.57 (#121) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.18 (#14) | 0.99 (#105) |
| RPI | 0.628 (#9) | 0.519 (#143) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SMC | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 78.8% | 76.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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