Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | BYU -340 SMC +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +14 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -8.8 (+5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.8 (-10.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -8.6 (+5.4) | 134.0 (-18.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -6.7 (+7.3) | 132.5 (-16.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -9.4 (+4.6) | 133.5 (-17.5) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -8.4 (+5.6) | 134.3 (-18.3) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2023 | SMC 76 – 69 BYU |
| Feb 19, 2023 | SMC 71 – 65 BYU |
| Jan 29, 2023 | SMC 57 – 56 BYU |
| Feb 20, 2022 | SMC 69 – 64 BYU |
| Jan 9, 2022 | BYU 52 – 43 SMC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-7 | 14-10 |
| Conference | 10-3 | 4-6 |
| Home | 11-2 | 9-3 |
| Away | 7-2 | 2-3 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 64.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 62.6 |
| Massey | 13.3 (#26) | 6.9 (#83) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.68 (#14) | 1.61 (#61) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.25 (#17) | 1.93 (#67) |
| RPI | 0.627 (#8) | 0.574 (#50) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 79.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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