Betting Lines
| Spread | SMC -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | BYU +210 SMC -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMC +1 | 113 | Lost |
| Massey | SMC -7.6 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.1 (-14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMC -7.4 (+6.4) | 132.6 (-19.6) | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMC -4.8 (+3.8) | 129.9 (-16.9) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMC -6.0 (+5.0) | 133.1 (-20.1) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMC -6.4 (+5.4) | 131.4 (-18.4) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2023 | SMC 76 – 69 BYU |
| Feb 19, 2023 | SMC 71 – 65 BYU |
| Feb 20, 2022 | SMC 69 – 64 BYU |
| Jan 9, 2022 | BYU 52 – 43 SMC |
| Feb 28, 2021 | BYU 65 – 51 SMC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 14-2 |
| Home | 12-4 | 16-2 |
| Away | 2-7 | 6-2 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 60.0 |
| Massey | 5.7 (#87) | 16.8 (#6) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#107) | 2.26 (#24) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.23 (#89) | 3.08 (#20) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#124) | 0.615 (#22) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 44.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 77.3% | 79.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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