Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUF -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUF +8 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | CSUF -7.4 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (+21.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUF -6.6 (-1.4) | 134.2 (+19.8) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUF -5.9 (-2.1) | 136.3 (+17.7) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUF -6.3 (-1.7) | 137.8 (+16.2) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUF -6.6 (-1.4) | 137.0 (+17.0) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | CSUF 90 – 77 CSUN |
| Jan 11, 2026 | CSUF 86 – 79 CSUN |
| Feb 7, 2025 | CSUN 82 – 63 CSUF |
| Jan 3, 2025 | CSUN 95 – 65 CSUF |
| Feb 25, 2024 | CSUN 65 – 60 CSUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 11-4 |
| Home | 4-11 | 11-2 |
| Away | 3-11 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.6 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 66.4 |
| Massey | -9.5 (#315) | 0.7 (#152) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#291) | 0.36 (#147) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.71 (#287) | 0.28 (#152) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#273) | 0.521 (#137) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.0% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 29.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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