Betting Lines
| Spread | PFW -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | MILW +165 PFW -185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PFW +10 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | PFW -3.7 (-6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.6 (+16.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PFW -3.1 (-6.9) | 138.5 (+13.5) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PFW -3.5 (-6.5) | 136.9 (+15.1) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PFW -3.4 (-6.6) | 139.5 (+12.5) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PFW -3.4 (-6.6) | 137.9 (+14.1) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2026 | PFW 100 – 82 MILW |
| Dec 30, 2025 | MILW 77 – 55 PFW |
| Feb 2, 2025 | PFW 81 – 79 MILW |
| Jan 9, 2025 | PFW 78 – 73 MILW |
| Feb 25, 2024 | MILW 96 – 88 PFW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 8-14 | 15-6 |
| Home | 6-10 | 14-2 |
| Away | 4-10 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -10.7 (#324) | -4.2 (#238) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.15 (#330) | -0.72 (#237) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.57 (#329) | -1.11 (#252) |
| RPI | 0.403 (#332) | 0.468 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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