Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -1.0 Push |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | CREI -120 MARQ +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +1 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | MARQ -0.2 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (+24.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -2.2 (-1.2) | 145.9 (+19.1) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -2.2 (-1.2) | 142.3 (+22.7) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -2.0 (-1.0) | 143.6 (+21.4) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -2.3 (-1.3) | 144.1 (+20.9) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | MARQ 86 – 62 CREI |
| Dec 21, 2025 | CREI 84 – 63 MARQ |
| Feb 8, 2025 | CREI 77 – 67 MARQ |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MARQ 79 – 71 CREI |
| Mar 2, 2024 | CREI 89 – 75 MARQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 12-7 | 11-8 |
| Home | 11-4 | 13-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 71.6 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#71) | 11.0 (#38) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.16 (#35) | 2.56 (#23) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.73 (#35) | 2.91 (#29) |
| RPI | 0.566 (#60) | 0.588 (#44) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.3% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.9% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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