Betting Lines
| Spread | L-MD -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | L-MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | L-MD +27 | 111 | Won |
| Massey | L-MD -5.1 (+21.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (-26.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | L-MD -4.9 (+22.1) | 132.9 (-21.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | L-MD -4.6 (+22.4) | 137.5 (-26.5) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | L-MD -4.4 (+22.6) | 138.6 (-27.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | L-MD -5.0 (+22.0) | 137.4 (-26.4) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | L-MD 89 – 84 LEH |
| Jan 20, 2026 | LEH 88 – 81 L-MD |
| Mar 5, 2025 | L-MD 77 – 73 LEH |
| Jan 18, 2025 | L-MD 76 – 60 LEH |
| Jan 5, 2025 | L-MD 80 – 74 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | L-MD | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-3 | 9-7 |
| Away | 3-12 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#270) | -8.5 (#305) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#275) | -1.81 (#313) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.53 (#276) | -2.44 (#323) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#265) | 0.416 (#316) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | L-MD | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 20.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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