Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | WIS -155 MICH +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +14 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -2.2 (+11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.2 (+3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -4.0 (+10.0) | 135.2 (+4.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -4.1 (+9.9) | 136.5 (+3.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -4.4 (+9.6) | 137.3 (+2.7) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -3.5 (+10.5) | 136.0 (+4.0) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | MICH 68 – 65 WIS |
| Jan 10, 2026 | WIS 91 – 88 MICH |
| Mar 16, 2025 | MICH 59 – 53 WIS |
| Dec 4, 2024 | MICH 67 – 64 WIS |
| Feb 8, 2024 | MICH 72 – 68 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 11-9 |
| Home | 12-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 9-2 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 69.4 |
| Massey | 11.4 (#33) | 12.0 (#27) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.20 (#11) | 1.92 (#46) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.55 (#14) | 2.42 (#42) |
| RPI | 0.627 (#10) | 0.589 (#42) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 12.7% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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