Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CARK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CARK +7 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | EKU -4.9 (+11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.8 (-7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -4.4 (+11.4) | 161.4 (-2.4) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -1.8 (+8.8) | 159.3 (-0.3) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -1.1 (+8.1) | 161.7 (-2.7) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -2.5 (+9.5) | 161.5 (-2.5) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | CARK 90 – 81 EKU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | EKU 79 – 75 CARK |
| Jan 3, 2025 | EKU 89 – 83 CARK |
| Feb 24, 2024 | EKU 95 – 82 CARK |
| Jan 12, 2024 | EKU 86 – 63 CARK |
Game Analysis
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