Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -22.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 165.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +12 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -20.8 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.4 (-16.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -16.3 (-4.3) | 161.9 (-11.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -16.6 (-4.6) | 162.3 (-12.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -15.8 (-3.8) | 162.3 (-12.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -17.0 (-5.0) | 161.3 (-11.3) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | GONZ 79 – 68 SCU |
| Feb 15, 2026 | GONZ 94 – 86 SCU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | GONZ 89 – 77 SCU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | GONZ 95 – 76 SCU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | SCU 103 – 99 GONZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-4 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 13-1 | 10-5 |
| Home | 16-0 | 14-4 |
| Away | 5-1 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 87.2 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 25.1 (#1) | 7.1 (#81) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.64 (#2) | 1.40 (#73) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.84 (#1) | 1.76 (#69) |
| RPI | 0.624 (#13) | 0.560 (#67) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.5% | 48.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 42.8 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.60 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.2% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.0% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 77.0% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.1% | 16.1% |
Game Analysis
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