Betting Lines
| Spread | RMU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +8 | 184 | Lost |
| Massey | RMU -0.1 (-8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.6 (+36.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIC -0.3 (-7.7) | 142.2 (+41.8) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RMU -0.3 (-8.3) | 143.2 (+40.8) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RMU -0.2 (-8.2) | 145.0 (+39.0) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIC -0.3 (-7.7) | 144.3 (+39.7) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2025 | RMU 88 – 74 UIC |
| Feb 4, 2022 | UIC 80 – 75 RMU |
| Jan 16, 2021 | UIC 66 – 62 RMU |
| Jan 16, 2021 | UIC 67 – 53 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RMU | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 5-16 | 9-10 |
| Home | 4-10 | 6-6 |
| Away | 4-14 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -10.0 (#318) | -7.4 (#287) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.64 (#347) | -1.43 (#292) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.03 (#346) | -2.03 (#303) |
| RPI | 0.422 (#312) | 0.444 (#281) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RMU | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 14.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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