Betting Lines
| Spread | UIC -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | UIC -163 RMU +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +4 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | RMU -1.0 (+5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (-19.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIC -0.1 (+3.9) | 144.0 (-16.0) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -1.2 (+2.8) | 147.0 (-19.0) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -1.3 (+2.7) | 149.1 (-21.1) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIC -0.4 (+3.6) | 147.4 (-19.4) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2025 | RMU 88 – 74 UIC |
| Feb 20, 2022 | UIC 96 – 88 RMU |
| Feb 4, 2022 | UIC 80 – 75 RMU |
| Jan 16, 2021 | UIC 67 – 53 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-13 | 4-15 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 3-12 |
| Home | 7-4 | 3-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 79.8 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#257) | -1.7 (#195) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.88 (#239) | -0.21 (#185) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.30 (#248) | -0.49 (#196) |
| RPI | 0.420 (#271) | 0.553 (#95) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 40.2% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 34.7% |
| FT Rate | 15.0% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 56.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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