Betting Lines
| Spread | UIC -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Over |
| Money | UIC -250 RMU +205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +5 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | UIC -6.1 (-1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.7 (+6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIC -4.8 (+0.2) | 145.3 (+9.7) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -4.3 (+0.7) | 147.0 (+8.0) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -4.0 (+1.0) | 147.0 (+8.0) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIC -4.4 (+0.6) | 146.4 (+8.6) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2025 | RMU 88 – 74 UIC |
| Feb 20, 2022 | UIC 96 – 88 RMU |
| Jan 16, 2021 | UIC 66 – 62 RMU |
| Jan 16, 2021 | UIC 67 – 53 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 9-10 | 5-16 |
| Home | 6-6 | 4-10 |
| Away | 8-8 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#283) | -9.3 (#315) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#292) | -2.57 (#340) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.02 (#302) | -2.91 (#337) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#293) | 0.426 (#300) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 13.5% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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