Betting Lines
| Spread | UIC -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | RMU +105 UIC -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RMU +14 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | RMU -4.8 (+9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.9 (+9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RMU -3.6 (+10.4) | 141.7 (+20.3) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RMU -4.6 (+9.4) | 145.0 (+17.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RMU -4.6 (+9.4) | 145.6 (+16.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RMU -3.7 (+10.3) | 146.5 (+15.5) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2022 | UIC 96 – 88 RMU |
| Feb 4, 2022 | UIC 80 – 75 RMU |
| Jan 16, 2021 | UIC 66 – 62 RMU |
| Jan 16, 2021 | UIC 67 – 53 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RMU | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 12-8 |
| Home | 14-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 8-7 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#200) | -0.0 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#138) | -0.77 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.21 (#122) | -1.55 (#261) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#148) | 0.417 (#296) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RMU | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 27.7% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 14.5 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 23.7% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 39.2% | 37.9% |
| FT Rate | 13.7% | 41.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 62.9% | 61.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 43.4% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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